Sunday, December 30, 2007
As we fast approach the end of year it becomes a time that many of us use to reflect on our past twelve months. If your like me in any way (commiserations, you obviously have very tolerant people around you!!) you will be reflecting on your achievements. Then you will possibly spend far too much time and energy analyzing those times during the year when you were disappointed. A friend of mine so warmly reminds me, build a bridge and get over it, start looking at what you can control and treat problems that you face as challenges.

This is definitely an excellent time to role those timeless cliches out. Take stock of your life, set goals for the year ahead and start the year off on a clean slate.

Well we have already set our goals and will be working to ensure that our service is second to none.

We wanted to kick the New Year off by offering our first:

FREE TRIAL

We just wanted to remind you that we are offering a 14 day free trial, just in case you are skim reading this Blog, as of January 1 2008. If you would like to come on board for our trial please click here to subscribe. Its an exciting time for us as we will be launching a number of new trading signals services to our members as of Jan 1 2008.

I would also like to mention that we will have a number of subscription ceilings on our signals, so if you like what you see following your trial period please dont delay in joining as once a signal service hits its maximum quota we will be closing that system service to new subscribers.

I know it sounds like one of those dodgy marketing ploys, creating a state of urgency but the reality is if we have too many people using our system signals they then become less effective its that simple.

Market Wrap

Not really a lot to add to Thursdays update. The S&P500 is now sitting between the 50 and 200 day moving averages. If you were a seasonal trader you would still be betting on a push higher. We also have an end of month/beginning of new month cycle trade setting up which should see money come into the markets and generate some buying.

Still feeling as though 2008 will be a tough time for the US markets, particularly if we see spending tighten from consumers we could be in for a very rough ride on all major markets!!

Tradewinr: Weekly Performance for week ending 21/12/2007

Another profitable week for the Tradewinr.com Portfolio!

Markets

Traded

Weekly

Profit/Loss

Monthly Profit/Loss

The Dow Daily prediction

$8,880

$26,200

S&P500 Swing trade

-$2,225

$3,037.50

The Dax Swing trade

$7,257

-$2054.10

S&P500

Intraday

-$650

$3,120

Weekly Total

$13,262

$30,303.40



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Monday, December 17, 2007

Somebody needs to remind Santa that we have a chorus full of bullish investors waiting for their seasonal ho-ho-ho and a rally into the New Year. Last weeks market activity was straight out of the movie Bad Santa, with Santas evil cousin taking charge of the seasonal activity and upsetting the seasonal bullish run. We ended the week down on all major markets and sitting precariously below the 50 and 200 moving average.

How the week played out
Monday saw a bounce on equities courtesy of McDonalds same-store sales, favorable Barrons review of JP Morgan and better-than-expected pending home sales data.

Tuesdays WaMu news of 80% dividend cut and analyst call of Sell on Citi saw the market get punished. Also FOMC .25%/.25% decision disappoints investors in conjunction with the statement from the FED that growth is slowing.

Wednesdays deal offered by Fed to banking systems including $40B injection spurred on a 2% opening bell that was very short lived. The initially well-received surprise Fed move had investors ultimately losing faith in our policy makers with the general market consensus too little too late. Then came a slurry of downgrades: BofA , JP Morgan and Wachovia , while Sallie Mae slashes 2008 earnings forecast. This was followed by an almost 5% surge in crude prices triggered by weekly inventory data.

Thursdays combined 3.2% jump in PPI and stronger-than-expected retail sales stokes fears over future rate cuts.

Fridays announcement by Citigroups management of quantified losses, albeit potentially large versus more ominous unknown financial liabilities. Fridays more important and confirming CPI and core (.8% and .3%) has investors weighing down the markets and potential seasonal rally.


The week ahead

Monday
Economic: Empire Index (21.0), Current Account (-$183B)
Earnings: Adobe

Tuesday
Economic: Housing Starts & Bldg Ps (1.19M, 1.15M)
Earnings: Best Buy, FactSet, Goldman, AAR, Darden, Hovnanian, Palm, Take-Two

Wednesday
Economic: Weekly Crude
Earnings: CarMa, Commercial Metals, General Mills, Joy Global, Morgan Stanley, Healthways, Nike, Oracle, Paychex

Thursday
Economic: GDP & Chain Deflator Final (4.9%, .9%), Weekly Claims (330K), Leading Inds (-.1%), Philly Fed (8.0)
Earnings: Bear Stearns, ConAgra, Discover, FedEx, Winnebago, Jabil, Micron, Red Hat, Research In Motion

Friday
Economic: Income & Spend (.5%, .5%), Core PCE (.2%), Michigan (74.3)
Earnings: Circuit City, Walgreens


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